An Anthropic scientist has stated that the probability of artificial intelligence destroying humanity is above 10 percent within the current decade.
What Happened
The Decoder reports that an Anthropic researcher assessed the risk of AI leading to human extinction at more than 10 percent for the period up to 2029. The report attributes this specific probability estimate to the internal expert, noting that the figure reflects the researcher's personal assessment of existential risk from advanced systems.
Why It Matters
The assessment originates from a scientist at a major frontier AI lab, providing a specific data point in the ongoing discussion about AI safety. The stated probability of over 10 percent by 2029 quantifies the level of concern expressed by the researcher regarding the potential for catastrophic outcomes from AI capabilities.
The Bottom Line
An Anthropic researcher, as reported by The Decoder, estimates the risk of AI-induced human extinction at more than 10 percent through 2029.